The Need For A Public Conversation On The War In Iran

It’s Coming: Lufthansa Cancels 20,000 Flights

As readers of this blog may know, I have generally remained focused on local issues. The purpose of this site is to improve our city government.

While the war in Iran is clearly a national issue, it is also an issue with profound implications for our city. I have set up an online petition to oppose our country putting boots on the ground in Iran and for this country to de-escalate the conflict (below).

The full economic impact of this war has not yet been fully felt in this country despite the rising cost of gasoline. The rapid expansion of this war threatens the entire global system because it depends not only on oil from that region but also on other raw materials that are critical to farmers, industry, and computer chip manufacturing.

There is already an economic crisis in Asia, but due to the interdependence of global markets, it will spread to America.

The purpose of the petition is to initiate a citywide conversation about the threat this war poses and the need for citizens and their representatives to urge a reconsideration of the continuation of the Iran conflict.

At the end of this post is a link to an online petition.

It’s Not Just Oil

The Middle East is a major source of fertilizer, and must use the Strait of Hormuz to ship the product to world markets. With over two months into this war, the blockage of traffic through the strait by Iran means farmers are already facing rising fertilizer costs just as the planting season begins.

As documented in the following video, the war also threatens the supply of helium, which, it turns out, is critical for many agricultural and industrial applications.

Qatar is a major source of liquid natural gas. Qatar has the world’s largest LNG processing facility. Qatar has had to shut down this facility, radically reducing its availability globally. Even if the conflict were to end today, restarting this facility will take many months. While the most immediate impact will be on Asian countries, the price impact will also be felt here in the US. Countries like South Korea, Japan, and India depend on LNG from Qatar. With the global integration of markets over the last decade, the impact on key trading partners will affect the US.

A Colossal Disaster

Iran has threatened that if the United States and Israel escalate the war, they will target desalination plants, the key facilities that make life possible for the countries that use the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea for shipping.

So, if the regional desalination plants were destroyed, a number of key oil-producing countries would have to literally be evacuated. Some would run out of water in days. It would take many years to rebuild these plants, so their destruction would be catastrophic not only for the citizens of these countries but also for the rest of the world.

As far as can be told, President Trump has no contingency plans for the mortal threat facing the Gulf nations on whom the world depends.

Supporting The Men and Women Of Our Military

For two hundred and fifty years, the men and women of our armed forces have honored their duty by obeying the call of our leaders to risk their lives on behalf of our citizens. On too many occasions, our leaders have abused that trust by ill-considered and politically motivated adventures that needlessly sacrificed our soldiers’ lives. Worse, these wars have too often needlessly continued because our country’s leaders lacked the courage to admit their errors in judgment even when their folly became cruelly obvious.

We seem to have learned nothing from our experiences in Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq. Yet again, we appear ready to risk the lives of our men and women for reasons that remain ever-changing and unclear.

President Trump’s public statements have done little to inspire confidence that this war was merited and that its cost in blood and public resources is worth it. He has failed to lay out a compelling case for such a massive risk. He has continually contradicted himself regarding his objectives. As just one example, he has claimed that, as a country, we do not care about the Hormuz Strait and then threatened annihilation if the Iranians do not open it.

We owe it to our military not only to hold their lives dearly but also to do all we can to ensure that their sacrifices would be truly worth the cost.

A Thoughtful Analysis Of The War In The Context Of The American Military

Lawrence B. Wilkerson (born June 15, 1945) is a retired colonel from the United States Army. Colonel Wilkerson is a veteran of the Vietnam War, where he logged 1100 combat hours as a helicopter pilot. He taught at the Naval War College and served as deputy director and then director of the Marine Corps War College. Wilkerson also served as Executive Assistant to Admiral Stewart A. Ring, United States Navy Pacific Command. Wilkerson served for some years in the United States Navy’s Pacific Command in South Korea, Japan, and Hawaii. General Colin Powell selected him as his executive assistant when Powell was the National Security Adviser to President Ronald Reagan. He went on to serve as General Powell’s Chief of Staff during the Gulf War. He went on to serve as Powell as his Chief of Staff when George W. Bush appointed Powell as his Secretary of State. Following his retirement from government, he has taught at William and Mary College and George Washington University.

Wilkerson is currently a Senior Fellow at the Eisenhower Media Network, a group of former military, intelligence, and civilian national security officials who described themselves as offering “alternative analyses untainted by Pentagon or defense industry ties” and countering “Washington’s establishment narrative on most national security issues of the day.

Wilkerson is a registered Republican.

Beginning A Dialog

The purpose of this petition is to engage this community, through our City Council, in a dialogue about the war and the actions citizens might take to convince Washington to end it.

I know that many of my conservative friends believe that the Iranian regime oppresses its people and needs to be changed. They fear that Iran may succeed in building a nuclear bomb, which would be a threat to Israel, and even potentially to our own country. They hold that the Strait of Hormuz must be opened and only force, not diplomacy, can open it.

Many also believe that the City Council should focus on local issues, and that taking positions on national issues invites toxic public battles.

These are all valid concerns, but given the enormous implications of this war for both our local economy and the lives of those who serve in our military, I have faith in our citizens that a civil dialogue is possible, one that will benefit all of us.

The President’s Remarks

As proof of the need for dialogue, the president’s recent remarks are so disturbingly intemperate that they simply re-emphasize the need for real discussion.

Tuesday will be Power Plant Day, and Bridge Day. all (sic) wrapped up in one, in Iran. There will be nothing like it!!! Open the Fuckin’ Strait,you crazy basteards, or you’ll be living in Hell – JUST WATCH! Praise be to Allah. President DONALD J. TRUMP.

Link To Petition

Click here to sign the petition to be sent to the city council.